Ask Sherlock Holmes. The ideal places to build bases would be at the bottom of the ocean or under beautiful sacred mountains, given that the former is still much less explored than the surface of the Moon and Mars, and that the latter is about the last place where humans would start a large-scale, invasive digging operation. I know I said I wont to go into detail on individual cases, but it would be difficult to comment on the coincidences that Paulides points out without pointing them out. Overall, the cases that he selected seem to correctly rule out normal cases based on details like there not being low-enough temperatures at all, people getting undressed too quickly after disappearing (before the cold could have set in), or people traveling absurdly long distances after they removed some articles of their clothing, especially if that included shoes or boots in rough terrain. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. Making an error on the part of Missing 411 perpetrators means that people wont go missing, that there will be evidence that will be interpreted as human crime (because what else would be a serious suspicion of the police in any scenario), or the person will see and report things that will make him or her sound mentally ill, and perhaps even diagnosed. Dogs arent machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions. When Paulides runs into a Pavlides when on one of these cases, a thing that has never happened to him before or since and which doesnt have to happen over an entire lifetime at all, that counts as a bit odd. This means that nothing should be taken at face value and that it may be necessary to keep our cards close to the chest not advertising our best leads or next moves, while trying to set up traps for the adversary. Yes, under these specific circumstances, things like temporal displacement start sounding more likely than dozens of searchers missing an obvious corpse dozens of times. There is at least one case in which the dog was proven to have been almost certainly fed (venison), which might indicate some perpetrator may have been more respectful of the life of the dog than that of the human target, as well as there are cases of dogs likely not having spent time in the area where they got lost, like the one dehydrated dog found in a swampland, or a number of cases of dogs being found in a surprisingly good condition. On the most basic level, it makes a lot of sense for a predator of any type or motivation to pick either easy targets (like kids, the disabled, the elderly, or less well-armed hunters), or exceptional targets (for the thrill, challenge, or some kind of interrogative or research value), so these attributes should be expected. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. Missing 411 is a series of books and films, which document cases of people who have gone missing in national parks and elsewhere, and assert that these cases are unusual and mysterious, contrary to data analysis which suggests that they are not actually statistically mysterious or even unexpected. Finally, being associated with Bigfoot research also doesnt disqualify everything that you say about anything. You can watch both productions here on Amazon. Much like it is with Daves trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesnt question the ability of canines to find scent. At most, they managed to say that someone is following them, but not exactly who or where they are, or if they described a specific location, they were already gone within moments (if the location they gave was accurate in the first place). Ive been trying to find the best data that doesnt fit with the dominant paradigm of what is or isnt supposed to be physically possible. With all that said, it would be interesting to take all of the people with the German origin within the Missing 411 sample and check whether their ancestors come from all over Germany, or if they all come from a specific region or regions inside of Germany (or Austria or Switzerland). How often you run into people with the same first name or surname as you is a function of how rare it is. As I was listening to various cryptid-related podcasts and shows, I have also encountered mentions of a possible conflict raging between bigfoot and dogmen/skinwalkers. Interestingly, and horrifyingly, the screams and howls recorded in the case of Henry McCabe, who was found dead without any apparent cause, do resemble the noises made by people who are tazed. It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. Any government can do that already. Missing 411 The Hunted Movie - video Dailymotion That would explain why its so hard to identify or catch them. People dont have good reasons to lie down on their faces and Paulides is correct to point out that corpses in water can offer a lot of reliable information about the deceased person. I mean, beyond the obvious connection to large bodies of water and boulder and rock formations. The reason why amnesia always seems contrived in TV shows and movies when used more than minimally is that it is rare in real life. This clearly points to an intelligent perpetrator, and one who, inexplicably, doesnt have a very good grasp of how human clothing works. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. Many serious paranormal investigators note the importance of the strange coincidence angle. In the Missing 411 cases, I believe that the percentage of how many causes of death are reported as unknown is far higher than 5%, while even many of the deaths that were reported as death by exposure or drowning seem to be questionable. The. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. Dave assembled the profile by reviewing details of all unexplained disappearances he could find that took place in the U.S. national parks and by noting what they had in common. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. In this analysis, I will not be going in depth on any of the individual cases, since that is covered quite well by many different videos on this subject that you can find on YouTube, including many hours of interviews with David Paulides on various paranormal podcasts. All of which are attributes that should be connected with strange disappearances, if you think about it. A lot of the draw of Missing 411 is the mysterious nature of not only people vanishing, but something extraordinary at play. But I think theres more to it than that. My critical point of view is that this is a nice sentiment, and youd want to have searchers with this attitude looking for you, but there is a number of conceivable conventional scenarios in which it would be very possible that the person would be exceedingly difficult to find or unlikely to be found. I will discuss this in more detail when I get to related profile points like the role of bad weather. 2019. The most common type of account from children is that of being taken or kept safe by some type of animal or animal-like men. Dave may not be the best scientist or statistician, he may have lied or cheated in his life at least once or twice, and he was trying to find evidence for the existence of Bigfoot (plural) before he was approached to look into missing people in national parks. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. Clothing really is tricky. Disorientation happened to my son and I four years ago in Germany's Teutoburg Forest. It has many of the Missing 411 hallmarks Adamski disappeared while on a walk and was last seen in the afternoon, only to turn up five days later, dead, on top of a coal pile located in a town twenty miles away. Missing 411 - cases from Minnesota - Nexus Newsfeed Taken all together, as I will try to explain shortly, no single normal or paranormal hypothesis explains all of the cases, meaning that either multiple are at play, or a one so crazy that no one, including Dave, has even been able to conceive of it yet. The most low-tech version that I can think of, some combination of taser and GHB, would clearly be inadvisable for use on children and should kill some people. Naturally, without any explanation as to how he got there. The evidence for Dave not cherry-picking is that he himself has no idea why most of the profile points are what they are, what they mean. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. Thats probably why it correlates so much with cases that remain unexplained. Paulides shares several perplexing mysteries and investigations. In any event, I believe that Dave is correctly focusing on the cases where the most inexplicable travel speeds or distances took place. The ability of any perpetrator to remotely confuse, lure, or in some sense mind control targeted people would also be consistent with the victims leaving essential items behind it would just be an induced brain fart. This means that this profile point is only interesting in combination with other data points that involve positive evidence. Or I guess you could have built up your whole infrastructure before mankind developed science, or you could be hiding in natural habitats like national forests or parks, so no construction would be needed at all. I have never heard of a single case in the history of my country of anyone going missing mysteriously while picking mushrooms. This invokes a motivation or mentality that either has something to do with genetics or culture, or a specific grudge. Which brings me to a statistical issue that I think Dave got wrong. Paulides has classified over 1,440 missing persons cases under the Missing411 label. How do you infuse high amounts of drugs into a body quickly and stealthily (or extract all of the blood, for that matter)? At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). But theres more. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. Given that this is perhaps the most consistent profile point, it could be a key one, but there are some nuanced considerations that should be made. Daves criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me a case being unexplained is an objective fact. So far, as far as I know, Dave made the clusters map and the table of how far away small children were found. Sometimes to children too young to be able to dress or undress themselves. 1 hr 37 mins. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. should always be prioritized over cases included on the basis of absence of evidence. When I say strange, what I mean is that, for starters, all of the usual suspects have been ruled out, like animal predation, human crime, voluntary disappearance, drowning, etc. Especially since weird perception and memory issues are common among the Missing 411 cases. People make errors. What makes it so tough is that I dont think you can determine when it was a failure, and when there was nothing to be found. In the last act, a twist no one saw . Disappearing while forgetting your phone behind is definitely much less bizarre than disappearing while having your phone with you, and especially while using it to call for help, or while something is happening to you as you are on the phone. Missing 411: The Hunted. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. The only theory other than aliens was KGB, or some sort of organized crime hit, but then it isnt clear why the agents or criminals would fail to properly dress the guy. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. Its unlikely that all such witnesses could be successfully bribed or threatened with all of the impromptu recordings being destroyed. What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. It only has to be cross-checked carefully with cases where paradoxical undressing could have realistically taken place. Or its supposed to be, anyway. Does any of that mean that you should dismiss the evidence that hes bringing forward? After that, the entities could have panicked, tried and failed to save him, did their best to dress him without his help (as normally, they would perhaps make him dress himself), and dumped him from the air to the top of the nearest pile, perhaps because of the absence of local natural peaks or mountains. Like mentions of reports of bigfoot on one of the U.S. coasts attacking dogs (in one episode of the On the Trail of Bigfoot series), or a description of an area where there were almost exclusively bigfoot reports on one side of a road going through a forest, and almost exclusively dogman reports on the other (on The Venomous Fringe podcast). I could also go on and on, but I think this is more than enough for now. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. In the Dennis Martin case, the Martin family went on a hike into a forest, and in the forest, they met another Martin family. Its not at all hard to imagine that in this case, the person got suddenly kidnapped into a flying vehicle and stripped by some sort of non-human entities, was aware of it (which perhaps wasnt supposed to happen) and panicked, burned himself while trying to escape the vehicle or fight the captors, got a heart attack, and died. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. All 185 cases fit a narrowly defined profile that was refined after researching thousands of missing person reports; these cases are the most difficult, defy common sense, challenge conventional wisdom and remain . Which are great, so please, Dave, do more of that. The person could have intentionally vanished. Missing 411: The Hunted | Apple TV (KH) Missing 411- The Hunted Canam Missing Project 410K subscribers Subscribe 3.9K 214K views 3 years ago Premier- June 22, 2019 Pre-Order Now! If the person was targeted outside, other options open up. Missing 411-Western U.S.- 2011. Moreover, if you could pull this off, you would want to use this technique to help someone or manipulate them without it being traceable back to you, or without it being scientifically provable that it was a communication at all. But its true that on the other, more paranoid hand, if the storms are somehow being caused (or foreseen and taken advantage of) to thwart searches, them succeeding in thwarting searches is not a disqualifying factor. Making the target unconscious or suggestible immediately and wiping their memory after the fact would be desirable tactics for any type of predator, if they can pull it off. Similarly, some traits like high intelligence, excellent physical condition, or relevant expertise and preparation are inherently suspicious, even if they happen in statistically insignificant numbers. Combatting MN's Missing 411 Areas | Saint Paul Republicans Hunters have been disappearing from North American wildlands for hundreds of years, many without leaving a trace. Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. This doc centers on hunters. In at least some cases, a wrong search area could have been set up or the search effort could have been otherwise insufficient (or plain unlucky). Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. So, I would expect more people to get lost while wearing colorful clothing rather than natural shades or camo. Dave also mentions legends from Hawaii and Indonesia which explain that you should not wear bright clothing if you dont want to offend some kind of spirits, or that some spirits demand that you lie naked face down in their presence, which is how Missing 411 people often are found. It also makes sense that in such a scenario, the dog should be more able to find a way back eventually, as opposed to its owner. Anything to do with poop may be inherently silly, but as recent advances in medical science show, gut microbiome is essential for our physical health and it interacts with our brain, affecting our mood. When we go do that with my family, we go to a place we know, or with a guide who knows the local forest like their backyard. Our Take on the 'Missing 411' Cases | Winter Watch If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. The concept of a holistic detective may be a fiction invented by Douglas Adams, but the interesting aspect of his science fiction ideas is that while crazy-sounding and hilarious, they are logically consistent and potentially realistic. Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. This dense forest is where three Roman Legions were massacred by Germanic tribes in 9 A.D. Missing 411: The U.F.O. Connection (2022) - IMDb Somebody called the profiling that Daves doing cherry-picking, and Dave said that yeah, thats exactly what hes doing.